Spontaneous Hurricane Intensification and Formation

 

Original Version for Printing

Written August 13, 2004

Update Sept. 7, 2004 

   Now that the hurricane season of 2004 is in full swing in the Atlantic Basin what hints are there that all is not normal. The recent increase in the Sun’s intensity has raised ocean temperatures, which fuel the storms. What is different this time is the random formation of storms in unusual areas. Hurricane Alex was just an area of concern off the South Carolina coast, but in a couple of days became a hurricane. Few storms develop so close the eastern seaboard so early in the year into a hurricane with winds pushing 120 mph. Next Hurricane Charley went from 105-110 mph in the morning to over 145 mph with the next reading. With outstanding wind damage reports this may be the worst storm in the gulf in 40 years. Hurricane Ivan moved from a tropical storm to a Category 3 in just six hours.

  The difference now is that storms are forming fast, intensifying quickly and catch the local populations by surprise. This is supposed to be an active season with 15-17 storms, 8 making hurricane strength and three intense storms cat 3 and above. Now technically Alex hit 120 mph. http://www.usatoday.com/weather/hurricane/current-names.htm (cat 3 is above 111 mph) for a short period of time and Hurricane Charley may have been a cat 5 when it hit landfall, we will never know. Now the prediction of an active season is by no accident, knowing the Sun’s intensity has increased significantly and the introduction of a new heat source in this system, this prediction was a no brainier, but explaining why without releasing the truth will be a game of dodge ball. What you have to prepare is the surprise storms hurricanes assaulting the coasts after just 3 days of storm formation. The normal trend is for the storm to form off the African west coast and drift slowly westward while intensifying slowly. So far only Tropical Depression 4 has followed this pattern. While Tropical Depression 5 just formed 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands. It is time to get ready for the unexpected super storms during the next several years 

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