Storm Anomalies
Update Dec. 31, 2007

Original Writing 2004

Original Version for Printing

Decade 2000

The 2005 Tally

Related Articles:

The Hurricane Page

The South Carolina Storms 

Spontaneous Hurricane Intensification

2 close Carolina hurricanes forming in the same year: 2

this has never occurred in the past (range150 miles)

Consecutive years with 14 or more storms: 6

1998-2003( there has not been any years in the past with back to back storms of 14 or more, ever)

The highest avg. occurrence of storms within the same decade: 17.60

Decade 2000 ( the closest is decade 1990 with an average of 11.7)  An up tick of 50.04%

The years where the first 4 out of 5 hurricanes of the season is a category 3 or higher: 3

2004, 1999, 1964 (2 have came from within the last 5 years)

Predictions

NOAA's forecast is based on the likelihood that above-normal activity that began in 1995 will continue. Since 1995, the Atlantic hurricane seasons have been above normal except for the El Nino years of 1997 and 2002.

The 2002 is well above the average and why the reference point of 1995 close to the year the Earth changes started.

The TMP report also estimates the risk of a major storm -- a category 3 or higher -- hitting the U.S. coastline. The researchers estimated the U.S. East Coast, including Florida, has a 48 percent chance of have a major storm make landfall while the U.S. Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas, has a 38 percent of chance of seeing a major hurricane. (self explanatory)

The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting for 12 to 15 tropical storms to form during the season, which runs from June 1 to November 30. Six to eight storms are predicted to become hurricanes with two to four storms developing into major hurricanes ranked as Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane strength.

Well are at the record maximum for Category 3+ storms: 6.

http://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/05/17/hurricane.forecast/index.html